Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.437207 0.479429 0.525215 0.578776 0.639989 0.708097 0.790064
2025-06-08 0.360827 0.418095 0.485108 0.570246 0.676888 0.807912 0.984058
2025-06-15 0.326196 0.392900 0.475322 0.586658 0.736347 0.935599 1.229917
2025-06-22 0.289951 0.358786 0.447170 0.571980 0.748886 0.999397 1.398598
2025-06-29 0.266247 0.337063 0.431026 0.568961 0.773938 1.081217 1.607692
2025-07-06 0.240957 0.310273 0.404542 0.547084 0.766853 1.111638 1.738758
2025-07-13 0.231229 0.303505 0.404590 0.562753 0.817404 1.239419 2.066307
2025-07-20 0.222479 0.297097 0.404144 0.577000 0.866884 1.373385 2.442528
2025-07-27 0.212726 0.288295 0.399105 0.583040 0.902908 1.489420 2.817664
2025-08-03 0.198672 0.272067 0.381377 0.566449 0.896927 1.525031 3.026223
2025-08-10 0.185629 0.256483 0.363426 0.547630 0.884288 1.544943 3.203675
2025-08-17 0.175700 0.244998 0.351046 0.537005 0.885286 1.592540 3.466792
2025-08-24 0.166999 0.235187 0.341115 0.530546 0.895105 1.664602 3.835882
2025-08-31 0.158964 0.226004 0.331659 0.524233 0.904858 1.739924 4.253597
2025-09-07 0.155625 0.223998 0.333799 0.539016 0.959376 1.931672 5.139710
2025-09-14 0.147562 0.213909 0.321626 0.525934 0.953404 1.974327 5.542629
2025-09-21 0.141949 0.207486 0.315255 0.523240 0.969548 2.077641 6.239764
2025-09-28 0.133990 0.196795 0.300841 0.503690 0.945523 2.068312 6.476849
2025-10-05 0.132007 0.195885 0.303409 0.517696 0.999947 2.290575 7.903612
2025-10-12 0.129910 0.194647 0.305272 0.530416 1.053424 2.527037 9.657741
2025-10-19 0.126861 0.191615 0.303671 0.535806 1.089876 2.722884 11.438348
2025-10-26 0.121206 0.183834 0.292921 0.520997 1.073195 2.740284 12.133576
2025-11-02 0.115616 0.175950 0.281603 0.504178 1.049436 2.728914 12.640737